Poverty equals terror? Not necessarily.

First things first, I am exceed­ingly thank­ful that no harm came to the pas­sen­gers of the North­west Air­lines Detroit bound flight that was the tar­get of Friday’s foiled ter­ror attack.

How­ever, I am sure the events of Decem­ber 25th, has put a damper on just about everyone’s Christ­mas hol­i­day — espe­cially at a time when there has been a renewed sense of con­scious­ness about the image that Nige­ria projects inter­na­tion­ally. Infor­ma­tion regard­ing 23-year-old Niger­ian ter­ror sus­pect, Abdul Farouk Abdul­mu­tal­lab, has been pour­ing out over the past 24 hours in spits and fits. Abdul­mu­tal­lab, son of a for­mer First Bank chair­man, is not your run-of-the-mill North­ern rioter. Hav­ing stud­ied Mechan­i­cal Engi­neer­ing at the Uni­ver­sity Col­lege of Lon­don, he planned to com­plete a sec­ond degree in Dubai, but informed his fam­ily that he instead wished to relo­cate to Yemen for reli­gious train­ing (Source: CNN).

Last month, I linked to FP Passport’s, Edu­cate Boys, Or They’ll Go To War, which pre­sented the World Bank find­ing which demostrates that that coun­tries with a low rate of sec­ondary school attain­ment amongst young males are more likely to be conflict-prone. I auto­mat­i­cally assumed that such applies to the the global phe­menon of religiously-inspired ter­ror­ism. Nige­ria is no stranger to such attacks as we wit­nessed ear­lier this year with Boko Haram, which trans­lates to “West­ern edu­ca­tion is a sin.” Shortly after the Sep­tem­ber 11th attacks, sev­eral have sug­gested that increased for­eign aid and increas­ing lev­els of edu­ca­tion amongst youth of devel­op­ing coun­tries could help to curb vio­lent ter­ror­ist attacks.

While Abdul­mu­tal­lab defies this stereo­type, it has been well-established that a reduc­tion in poverty may not nec­es­sar­ily cor­re­late to a decrease in ter­ror­ist ten­den­cies. A sig­nif­i­cant por­tion of inter­na­tional jihadist par­tic­i­pants tend to be more well-educated and wealth­ier in com­par­i­son to the gen­eral pop­u­la­tion. Addi­tion­ally, the edu­cated and wealthy are more likely to view inter­na­tional ter­ror­ist attacks as “jus­ti­fied.” In response to NigerianCuriosity’s lat­est post, I argued the pro­lif­er­a­tion of child beg­gars in Nige­ria could serve as a breed­ing ground for future con­flicts and by exten­sion, acts of ter­ror­ism. While this may hold true for local acts of ter­ror­ism within Nigeria’s bor­ders, inter­na­tional attacks, such as that of Decem­ber 25th, war­rants a new paradigm.

The link between polit­i­cal insta­bil­ity within the coun­try of ori­gin of the ter­ror­ist and pro­cliv­ity towards inter­na­tional acts ter­ror may be a stronger one (see here and here). Abdul­mu­tal­lab is thought to have some con­nec­tions to Yemen. Dubbed as the next failed state, the Yemeni gov­ern­ment has lit­tle power beyond its cap­i­tal, Sana’a. As of April 2009, more than 40% of all Guan­tanamo Bay pris­on­ers are of Yemeni ori­gin and cur­rently, Al Qaeda main­tains a strong foot­fold within the country’s borders.

Per­form­ing even worse than last year, Nige­ria ranked higher than Yemen in the 2009 Fund for Peace’s Failed States Index. Inter­est­ingly, Muttalab’s attack comes more one month after Yar’adua went Miss­ing In Action from the Niger­ian pres­i­dency. Almost 50 years post-independence, Nige­ria remains rud­der­less in a sea of polit­i­cal insta­bil­ity that threat­ens to over­take us. Well, with such a tra­jec­tory of lead­er­ship (or, err, lack thereof), we Nige­ria may become the lat­est fron­tier  for the launch­ing of future inter­na­tional ter­ror­ist attacks.


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  • Thanks for find­ing words to write this post. I have none.

  • Mutal­lab strikes me as spoiled rich kid who hap­pens to have had the means may play at fanat­i­cal causes. His poorly con­sid­ered action only serves to dis­tract atten­tion from real prob­lems in Nige­ria and else­where in the world.

  • The link between polit­i­cal insta­bil­ity within the coun­try of ori­gin of the ter­ror­ist and pro­cliv­ity towards inter­na­tional acts ter­ror may be a stronger one
    I agree with this point you made above because the ‘pro­file’ for lack of a bet­ter word just defies belief. Most Niger­ian 23 year-olds are try­ing to feed their fam­i­lies or try­ing to grad­u­ate from col­lege where we all know the edu­ca­tional sys­tem is bro­ken. As for the rich ones among them, par­ties and hang­ing out are what occupy their time both in Nige­ria and abroad. Who has the men­tal­ity to do this?
    It’s just such a shame cos the way the press has been scream­ing Nige­ria every sec­ond the past few days, visa and trav­el­ing issues for Nige­ri­ans (and Africans by exten­sion) have just wors­ened to the point of no return.
    On a lighter note, I guess igno­ra­mus Amer­i­cans will now be forced to sep­a­rate Nige­ria the coun­try from Africa the continent…lol.

  • I for­got to add that these edu­cated and wealthy ‘agents’ at a fun­da­men­tal level just have issues with the West­ern way of liv­ing (i.e. edu­ca­tion & cul­ture) and that seems to form the core of their ‘bat­tle’. It’s unfor­tu­nate that reli­gion is also used to jus­tify the acts but that ide­ol­ogy is clearly at the root of their men­tal­ity. It just seems like they’re fight­ing for a new world order (but seek­ing to do it by bomb­ing every­thing to sub­mis­sion). Sorry if this is get­ting all polit­i­cal sci­ene and IR-like sha.

  • I keep hear­ing peo­ple say this is a one-off sit­u­a­tion, but it won’t remain that way for long. MEND, mil­i­tancy, kid­nap­pers, Boko Haram, vig­i­lantes in the West, the signs are clear and Nige­ri­ans can­not afford to con­tinue ignor­ing them. The fact that this boy was rich was noth­ing more than a travel real­ity — a poor Niger­ian Muslim/northern male would be inca­pable of receiv­ing travel doc­u­ments. Chinua Achebe’s ‘Things Fall Apart’ keeps com­ing to mind. Specif­i­cally the theme song for the tele­vi­sion pro­gram — “Things fall apart/ And the cen­ter can­not hold…” I have always been haunted by that theme song’s warn­ing. I only wish many more of us had heeded its mes­sage, our nation might not be in the decayed state it is in now.

    @Nneoma: won­der­ful post. I applaud you for being able to write this so quickly after the inci­dent. It took my 24 hours to get over my frus­tra­tion to even begin to think crit­i­cally about the mat­ters involved.

  • I’ve only just taken the time to read this post. Very well writ­ten, most mea­sured response I’ve read.

    I haven’t per­son­ally had much to say about this guy except that he does not rep­re­sent me and I am Niger­ian. He isn’t giv­ing me a bad name, because I am respon­si­ble for my own name.

    If we are to suc­ceed in mak­ing pos­i­tive strides as a nation and tell the world suc­cess­fully that we will not be pigeon holed or held back, then we need to also drop the minor­ity men­tal­ity. Every ser­ial killer or wall street fraud­ster did not cause Amer­i­cans to fall into uproar about their bad name, one man’s crime is one man’s crime.

    We are as prone to mil­i­tancy and per­ceived ter­ror­ism as any nation in the world at the moment, that’s a fact of our mod­ern times so we don’t need to claim it as a Niger­ian problem.

    As for the way other nations see Nige­ria, well small mind­ed­ness will always have an excuse, Umar is to yes­ter­day, what Dis­trict 9 was the day before yesterday.…lets see what today and tomor­row bring.

  • […] poverty and mis­un­der­stand­ing. The pol­icy and polit­i­cal impli­ca­tions are clear. In fact, Nneoma’s write-up on the impor­tance of edu­ca­tion of boys, which pre­sented the World Bank find­ings that coun­tries with […]

  • […] poverty and mis­un­der­stand­ing. The pol­icy and polit­i­cal impli­ca­tions are clear. In fact, Nneoma’s write-up on the impor­tance of edu­ca­tion of boys, which pre­sented the World Bank find­ingsthat coun­tries with […]

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